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2013-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 70.3% 29.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% -
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 29.4% 70.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +17 (69-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Mullins * 28 2-7 1-2 4-7 3 1 0 0 3 9 3 -
M. Lo * 26 3-6 2-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 10 9 -
L. Petrasek * 25 3-6 1-3 3-4 1 0 1 1 0 10 7 -
I. Cohen * 20 1-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 0 3 2 -1 -
C. Osetkowski * 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 -
M. Lyles 23 1-5 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
J. Coby 23 2-7 0-0 6-7 6 1 0 0 1 10 9 -
K. Jackson 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Z. En'Wezoh 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
A. Rosenberg 13 0-2 0-0 3-6 4 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
N. Springwater 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wintering * 25 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 1 1 0 1 3 6 -
K. Bailey * 24 6-15 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 13 5 -
R. Nicholas * 24 6-11 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 12 8 -
T. van der Mars * 22 7-8 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 2 0 14 15 -
B. Pressley * 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
B. Sharp 23 2-4 1-2 3-5 2 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
R. Barker 17 1-4 0-0 1-3 3 1 0 2 0 3 5 -
V. Gerun 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 3 1 1 0 2 9 -
K. Thieleke 12 1-2 0-0 2-3 2 1 1 1 1 4 6 -
D. Carr 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
T. Riley 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
A. Zubizarreta 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Bailey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter