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2014-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 31.3% 68.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Margin 25.6% 74.4% +5.9 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“

Actual: Columbia Lions +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean McGonagill * 39 8-16 3-7 1-1 3 5 2 0 2 20 12 -
Leland King * 36 5-11 2-4 0-0 9 1 0 1 2 12 10 -
Tavon Blackmon * 30 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 1 -
Cedric Kuakumensah * 28 6-12 0-0 0-1 2 2 0 6 2 12 8 -
Steven Spieth * 26 3-6 0-2 1-1 6 1 1 0 1 7 8 -
Dockery Walker 15 4-7 0-0 1-3 5 1 0 0 2 9 6 -
Matty Madigan 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
JR Hobbie 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maodo Lo * 37 5-13 0-5 5-7 4 3 2 0 2 15 9 -
Isaac Cohen * 35 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 6 0 0 1 2 9 -
Meiko Lyles * 35 8-10 5-5 0-0 9 0 0 0 2 21 18 -
Alex Rosenberg * 34 6-16 3-7 8-10 5 0 3 0 0 23 15 -
Cory Osetkowski * 18 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 5 0 1 2 0 2 -
Jeff Coby 24 2-5 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 1 1 6 10 -
Luke Petrasek 9 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Steve Frankoski 6 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Noah Springwater 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter