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2014-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 35.3% 64.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.0% 72.0% - โœ“
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.1% 56.9% - โœ“

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean McGonagill * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 2 0 6 17 22 -
Steven Spieth * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 2 3 -
Rafael Maia * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 0 1 16 26 -
Cedric Kuakumensah * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 5 9 -
Tavon Blackmon * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 9 9 -
JR Hobbie 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 14 14 -
Dockery Walker 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 9 -
Leland King 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Matty Madigan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Armani Cotton * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 3 19 26 -
Javier Duren * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 5 1 1 16 26 -
Nick Victor * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 1 1 2 12 -
Justin Sears * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 2 20 28 -
Matt Townsend * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 4 -
Brandon Sherrod 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 10 13 -
Isaiah Salafia 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Greg Kelley 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
Jack Montague 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jesse Pritchard 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter