Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +3 (51-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kirk * | 38 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| C. Bairstow * | 37 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| K. Williams * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -3 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 34 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Delaney * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Neal | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| P. Thomas | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Lindsay | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| J. Davis * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Polee II | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Quinn | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter