Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.0% | 33.0% | -3.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames * | 34 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| J. Davis * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Polee II | 23 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 17 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Quinn | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Birch * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | - |
| K. Olekaibe * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Smith * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -4 | - |
| B. Dejean-Jones * | 21 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Wood | 30 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Kendrick | 26 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Cook | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Morant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter