Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✗ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +14 (58-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. O'Brien * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| X. Thames * | 35 | 3-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -4 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Davis * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Polee II | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Quinn | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Allen | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirk * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow * | 36 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 35 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kendall Williams * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Deshawn Delaney * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Cullen Neal | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Pancake Thomas | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Merv Lindsay | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter