Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +15 (60-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Butterfield * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Preston Medlin * | 29 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jarred Shaw * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -6 | - |
| TeNale Roland * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jalen Moore | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Marcel Davis | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Stone | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| JoJo McGlaston | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Danny Berger | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Viko Noma'aea | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| X. Thames * | 30 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 19 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Polee II | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Quinn | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Allen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Staten | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter