Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.6 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +8 (64-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre' Coggins | 37 | 2-14 | 0-9 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 37 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Max Yon | 36 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 26 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zach Kocur | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames | 35 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 5-9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| W. Shepard | 34 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Davis | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A. Quinn | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Polee II | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Spencer | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter