Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burton * | 39 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Huff * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 35 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| M. Perez * | 28 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. West * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| R. Stevens Jr. | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Coleman | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Fenner | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames * | 36 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Davis * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Quinn | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Polee II | 14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Allen | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter