Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.1% | 46.9% | -0.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. O'Brien * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Davis * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| X. Thames * | 27 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 10-11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 17 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Quinn | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Polee II | 19 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Allen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Watkins | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| A. Drmic * | 38 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Thompson * | 36 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Marks * | 33 | 7-18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | - |
| N. Duncan * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 31 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| I. Hadziomerovic | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Trent | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter