Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +9 (65-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Octeus * | 40 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Avila * | 35 | 4-17 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. De Ciman * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| G. Santo * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Bejarano * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Holt | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| C. Hurst | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Cohn | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames * | 35 | 6-17 | 0-5 | 12-12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 30 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| A. Quinn * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Allen | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Williams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Polee II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter