Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bejarano * | 39 | 6-18 | 2-10 | 3-7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J.J. Avila * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Joe De Ciman * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Gerson Santo * | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jon Octeus * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 12-12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| David Cohn | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Marcus Holt | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Carlton Hurst | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Dwight Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burton * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| A. West * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| M. Perez * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| C. Huff * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Coleman | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Fenner | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Stivrins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Fall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter