Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.1% | 26.9% | -5.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -11 (78-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Williams * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Alex Kirk * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Deshawn Delaney * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Cullen Neal | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Obij Aget | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Pancake Thomas | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Nick Banyard | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Marvelle Harris * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Cezar Guerrero * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Paul Watson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Karachi Edo * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Alex Davis | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Allen Huddleston | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tanner Giddings | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter