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2014-01-18

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 21.3% 78.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% -
Log Adjusted 11.4% 88.6% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +11 (63-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Smith 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Smith * 35 5-19 0-6 3-5 5 2 1 0 2 13 0 -
B. Dejean-Jones * 33 7-25 0-7 1-2 5 1 2 1 3 15 -4 -
K. Birch * 33 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 5 1 4 10 -
R. Smith * 32 4-8 0-1 4-4 10 0 0 0 1 12 13 -
K. Olekaibe * 25 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
J. Kendrick 22 0-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 2 0 -3 -
C. Wood 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Cook 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
X. Thames * 35 3-14 1-4 11-12 7 4 1 0 4 18 12 -
S. Spencer * 33 3-3 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 4 1 6 15 -
W. Shepard * 32 2-6 0-0 4-6 9 2 0 0 4 8 9 -
J. Davis * 30 5-10 0-0 4-7 14 0 0 2 1 14 19 -
J.J. O'Brien * 26 3-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 -2 -
D. Polee II 18 2-6 0-1 2-2 4 0 3 4 1 6 10 -
A. Quinn 14 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
M. Shrigley 12 0-6 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6 -

* = starter