Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +11 (63-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Smith * | 35 | 5-19 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | - |
| B. Dejean-Jones * | 33 | 7-25 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | -4 | - |
| K. Birch * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| R. Smith * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| K. Olekaibe * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Kendrick | 22 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Wood | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Cook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames * | 35 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 33 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Davis * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| D. Polee II | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Quinn | 14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 12 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | - |
* = starter