Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.1% | 1.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.7% | 6.3% | -14.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -7 (72-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. O'Brien * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| J. Davis * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| X. Thames * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Quinn | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 17 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Polee II | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Allen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre' Coggins * | 40 | 11-18 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 9 | - |
| Kamryn Williams * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Max Yon * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Justin Hammonds * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Marek Olesinski * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zach Kocur | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter