🐻⬇️🏀

San Diego State Aztecs 79
@
Air Force Falcons 72
2014-01-12

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 98.1% 1.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 80.2% 19.8% - ✓
Margin 93.7% 6.3% -14.9 ✓ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 85.6% 14.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 92.2% 7.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 92.2% 7.8% - ✓

Actual: Air Force Falcons -7 (72-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.J. O'Brien * 32 5-8 1-1 7-8 11 0 0 0 2 18 19 -
J. Davis * 31 5-9 0-0 3-8 11 0 1 2 2 13 16 -
W. Shepard * 28 6-12 0-0 2-6 6 3 2 0 0 14 13 -
X. Thames * 28 5-11 2-3 4-4 0 5 1 0 1 16 10 -
S. Spencer * 13 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Quinn 26 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 3 6 -
M. Shrigley 17 5-10 3-6 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 13 6 -
D. Polee II 11 0-4 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 -
D. Allen 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Williams 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Coggins * 40 11-18 5-10 2-2 1 1 1 0 5 29 9 -
K. Williams * 35 6-12 1-4 0-0 6 0 1 2 2 13 8 -
M. Yon * 34 4-8 1-4 3-3 5 2 1 0 5 12 7 -
J. Hammonds * 33 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 4 8 -
M. Olesinski * 31 3-6 0-1 2-4 7 3 0 0 1 8 11 -
D. Earls 14 2-6 0-1 2-4 0 1 1 0 0 6 2 -
C. Kammerer 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Kocur 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter