Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Drmic * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Marks * | 37 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| R. Watkins * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Elorriaga * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Hadziomerovic * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Thompson | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| N. Duncan | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| X. Thames * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Quinn | 21 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| D. Polee II | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Allen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter