Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -10 (61-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 20 | - |
| X. Thames * | 32 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -2 | - |
| D. Polee II | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Quinn | 12 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Allen | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Avila * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Octeus * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Bejarano * | 34 | 6-20 | 3-9 | 7-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 8 | - |
| G. Santo * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. De Ciman * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Smith | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Hurst | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Cohn | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Holt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter