Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.2% | 26.8% | -5.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Medlin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Spencer Butterfield * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 28 | - |
| Marcel Davis * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Stone * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Moore | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| TeNale Roland | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Danny Berger | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ben Clifford | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamryn Williams * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 18 | - |
| Max Yon * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Tre' Coggins * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Justin Hammonds * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Marek Olesinski * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 26 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Zach Kocur | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter