Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Humes * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Marc Brown * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jay Parker | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Jake Wiegand | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Markese McGuire | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Gabe Snider | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bejarano * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 30 | - |
| Jon Octeus * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Joe De Ciman * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Gerson Santo * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| J.J. Avila * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Dwight Smith | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| David Cohn | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Marcus Holt | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Carlton Hurst | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter