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2013-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 14.4% 85.6% -
Bradley-Terry 16.0% 84.0% -
Margin 8.9% 91.1% +12.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% -
Log Adjusted 3.7% 96.3% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +15 (70-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Drmic * 38 7-22 2-8 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 18 0 -
R. Watkins * 37 2-6 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
J. Elorriaga * 37 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 1 3 0 0 3 4 -
I. Hadziomerovic * 29 2-6 0-1 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 6 6 -
D. Marks * 25 6-18 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 14 -2 -
M. Thompson 25 4-11 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 8 1 -
N. Duncan 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bropleh 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harrison * 38 6-12 0-4 1-1 4 1 3 0 3 13 6 -
J. Young * 31 7-15 4-11 3-4 9 0 0 0 5 21 10 -
A. Harrison * 31 4-7 0-1 5-7 3 2 0 0 3 13 8 -
J. Randle * 28 7-11 0-0 3-4 11 1 0 1 4 17 15 -
W. Cauley-Stein * 25 3-3 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 9 2 6 18 -
D. Hawkins 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Poythress 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
D. Johnson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Polson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter