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2013-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 95.0% 5.0% -
Bradley-Terry 88.7% 11.3% -
Margin 90.5% 9.5% -12.4 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 76.2% 23.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.3% 10.7% -
Log Adjusted 89.3% 10.7% -

Actual: Air Force Falcons -24 (57-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scott * 25 5-10 0-0 6-6 13 2 1 0 0 16 22 -
S. Dinwiddie * 24 3-5 1-3 0-0 0 5 2 0 3 7 6 -
W. Gordon * 24 1-4 0-0 4-8 3 2 0 2 0 6 9 -
X. Johnson * 23 5-6 0-1 1-1 8 2 0 0 0 11 15 -
A. Booker * 22 5-13 3-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 13 1 -
X. Talton 16 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 4 1 0 0 2 7 -
J. Hopkins 16 3-6 3-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 9 5 -
D. Thomas 13 2-3 0-0 3-3 3 1 0 0 3 7 5 -
T. Fletcher 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -
G. King 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
B. Mills 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
E. Stalzer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Nelson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
B. Gamble 3 1-2 1-2 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
B. Brady 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Coggins * 34 6-13 2-7 4-4 4 2 0 1 7 18 5 -
M. Olesinski * 30 3-8 1-5 1-2 2 2 2 0 1 8 5 -
M. Yon * 25 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 -1 -
J. Hammonds * 21 2-5 0-1 3-6 2 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
D. Parker * 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 4 -
H. Graham 15 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 1 0 2 4 -
Z. Kocur 14 2-4 2-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
Z. Moer 12 2-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 1 2 6 1 -
N. Jorgensen 12 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 1 4 -
C. Long 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
E. Michael 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Kammerer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
S. Adler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter