Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.6% | 31.4% | -4.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -9 (60-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Tarczewski * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T.J. McConnell * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Gordon * | 31 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| N. Johnson * | 31 | 8-15 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| B. Ashley * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| G. York | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Hollis Jefferson | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Mayes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames * | 36 | 5-16 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 7-11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| J. Davis * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Allen | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter