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2014-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.4% 90.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.8% 73.2% - โœ“

Actual: Villanova Wildcats +17 (73-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Thomas * 34 2-8 1-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 5 1 -
D. Wilson * 32 1-6 0-0 0-2 6 3 0 0 2 2 3 -
J. Wilson * 21 1-4 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 5 3 -
Jack Anderson * 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 0 2 -
C. Otule * 15 1-2 0-0 3-6 4 0 0 1 1 5 7 -
T. Mayo 27 4-7 0-2 3-3 5 3 1 0 4 11 9 -
D. Gardner 21 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
D. Burton 13 5-7 1-1 2-5 1 0 4 0 0 13 11 -
S. Taylor Jr. 10 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
J. Dawson 8 0-0 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
J. Johnson 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JayVaughn Pinkston * 27 3-5 0-0 5-6 7 1 1 1 1 11 15 -
Darrun Hilliard * 25 7-11 5-8 7-10 3 4 2 1 1 26 24 -
Daniel Ochefu * 22 1-1 0-0 0-2 7 3 2 0 2 2 11 -
Ryan Arcidiacono * 20 3-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 8 5 -
James Bell * 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
Dylan Ennis 25 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 3 1 -
Josh Hart 23 5-8 3-5 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 13 8 -
Tony Chennault 17 2-6 0-1 1-1 1 3 0 0 2 5 1 -
Kris Jenkins 17 1-8 1-5 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 5 2 -
Nick McMahon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Darryl Reynolds 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter