Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron White * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Marble * | 32 | 10-23 | 4-10 | 6-11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Mike Gesell * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Adam Woodbury * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Clemmons | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Zach McCabe | 19 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jarrod Uthoff | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Peter Jok | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Martin * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Dee Davis * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Semaj Christon * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Matt Stainbrook * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Philmore * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Myles Davis | 25 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Jalen Reynolds | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Randolph | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| James Farr | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
* = starter