Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.9% | 9.1% | -12.7 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -1 (58-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Barlow * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Kellen Dunham * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kameron Woods * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Khyle Marshall * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Erik Fromm * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Elijah Brown | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Chrabascz | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Devontae Morgan | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jackson Aldridge | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nolan Berry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Majok Majok * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 26 | - |
| Zavier Turner * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Chris Bond * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Jesse Berry * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Franko House * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Quinten Payne | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mark Alstork | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Koch | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bo Calhoun | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter