Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Northwestern State Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.4% | 96.6% | +18.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern State Demons +18 (84-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Wentz * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Rafael Farley * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Austin Cooke * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Julian Edmonson * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Riley Payne * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Michael Grant | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jacob Lancaster | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| James Pegues | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Chris Blakeley | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalan West * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 28 | - |
| Brison White * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 36 | - |
| Zeek Woodley * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Marvin Frazier * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Patrick Robinson * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| DeQuan Hicks | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Sabri Thompson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Tra'von Joseph | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Ryan King | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Gary Stewart | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Washington | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dustin Adams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dadrian Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Adams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Matt Killian | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter