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2014-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% - โœ“
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“

Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +3 (83-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Betran * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 2 0 5 28 32 -
E. Dyson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 20 30 -
C. Horton * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 1 0 2 2 6 20 -
W. Triggs * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 15 22 -
F. Garmon * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 3 7 -
D. Smith 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 4 3 -
C. Freeman 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 6 -
Z. Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Arentsen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Herring 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Mboup 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Stone * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 5 2 1 5 20 34 -
Nino Johnson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 1 3 14 21 -
Lucas Nutt * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 6 2 0 2 0 6 -
Josh Langford * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 11 12 -
Darrian Gray * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
Jarekious Bradley 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 2 0 16 27 -
Antonius Cleveland 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 2 3 12 20 -
Jamaal Calvin 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 6 12 -

* = starter