Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +2 (90-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Garmon * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| E. Dyson * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 21 | - |
| T. Betran * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 24 | - |
| C. Horton * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 27 | - |
| W. Triggs * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| C. Freeman | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | - |
| P. Herring | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Mboup | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Z. Williams | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Arentsen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angelo Warner * | 48 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 36 | - |
| Kareem Storey * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Greg Dotson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Drew Kelly * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Billy Reader * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Chad Posthumus | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 35 | - |
| Jordan Percell | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Brent Arrington | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
* = starter