Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | -3.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -3 (73-76). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Mann * | 37 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Craig Bradshaw * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Reece Chamberlain * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Blake Jenkins * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Drew Windler * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Evan Bradds | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Holden Mobley | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nick Smith | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Turner | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Caleb Chowbay | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chad Lang | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Laidig | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Kelly * | 37 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Angelo Warner * | 34 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Greg Dotson * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Brent Arrington * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Billy Reader * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Luka Pajkovic | 27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Chad Posthumus | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Percell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter