Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels -13 (64-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Payne * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Jarvis Williams * | 38 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Jeffery Moss * | 35 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Dexter Fields * | 27 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jonathan Fairell * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Rambo | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Ford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Cosey * | 36 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4 | - |
| C. Walden * | 36 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | - |
| E. Stutz * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 31 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| M. Lewis * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| O. Williams | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| I. McGlone | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter