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2014-01-05

Model Predictions

Model UT Martin Skyhawks Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 8.1% 91.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 8.3% 91.7% - โœ“
Margin 4.5% 95.5% +16.7 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.9% 97.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.5% 81.5% - โœ“

Actual: Murray State Racers +14 (91-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Taylor * 36 6-14 0-1 3-4 7 0 1 0 5 15 4 -
Terence Smith * 35 6-13 4-8 3-5 2 4 3 1 2 19 14 -
Marshun Newell * 33 6-12 1-4 4-6 3 3 2 0 1 17 12 -
Justin Childs * 29 4-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 3 0 0 10 12 -
Dee Oldham * 21 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
Mike Liabo 20 2-11 2-7 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 7 -3 -
Chandler Rowe 8 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 0 0 3 7 -
Bobby Jones 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
DeMarc Richardson 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Pierre Mopo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Khristian Taylor 3 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarvis Williams * 37 7-9 0-0 6-7 15 1 0 1 2 20 26 -
Jeffery Moss * 31 3-7 0-3 14-14 4 3 1 1 2 20 20 -
Cameron Payne * 30 8-13 6-10 5-7 5 5 1 0 2 27 23 -
Jonathan Fairell * 25 2-2 0-0 1-5 7 0 0 0 1 5 9 -
Dexter Fields * 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 0 2 -
Tyler Rambo 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
C.J. Ford 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Zay Henderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter