Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.9% | 19.1% | -7.9 | ✗ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +12 (85-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 30 | - |
| Michael Bolden * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Zach Gordon * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| David Nwaba | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joel Awich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hawkins * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Georgi Funtarov * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Brynton Lemar * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Justin Dueck * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Clint Bozner | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Darius Graham | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| O. Betu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter