Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -7 (55-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 32 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Ridge Shipley * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Michael Bolden | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Maliik Love | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Greene * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Stephan Hicks * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Stephen Maxwell * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Tre Hale-Edmerson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 25 | - |
| Landon Drew * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ben Vozzola | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Parks | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trevone Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter