๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2014-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Long Beach State Beach Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 โœ— (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.8% 41.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 58.7% 41.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -1 (62-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Caffey * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 14 19 -
T. Lamb * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 4 20 28 -
A.J. Spencer * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 7 14 -
D. Samuels * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
T. Hammonds * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
D. Jennings 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 2 1 10 22 -
K. Gulley 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 3 8 -
M. LaSalle 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
B. Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
C. Griggs-Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Eversley * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 0 1 16 26 -
Joel Awich * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 2 6 11 -
David Nwaba * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 8 15 -
Kyle Odister * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 10 14 -
Jamal Johnson * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 9 18 -
Taylor Sutlive 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
Brian Bennett 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
Maliik Love 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
Ridge Shipley 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Zach Gordon 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Anthony Silvestri 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter