Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +12 (89-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sypkens * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Darius Graham * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Corey Hawkins * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 11-12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Georgi Funtarov * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Clint Bozner | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| O. Betu | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Maxwell * | 38 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Stephan Hicks * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Josh Greene * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Tre Hale-Edmerson * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Landon Drew * | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Parks | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Trevone Williams | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ben Vozzola | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Dominique Youmans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter