Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Hale-Edmerson * | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Josh Greene * | 33 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Stephan Hicks * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Stephen Maxwell * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Landon Drew * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Parks | 26 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Trevone Williams | 22 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ben Vozzola | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dominique Youmans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J.J. Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Haymon * | 36 | 12-17 | 4-9 | 8-13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 23 | - |
| Jacob Parker * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Thomas Walkup * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Trey Pinkney * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nikola Gajic * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Deshaunt Walker | 17 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Connor Brooks | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Dallas Cameron | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tanner Clayton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Justin Dotson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Sharife Sergeant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter