Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.2% | 35.8% | -3.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -1 (84-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo * | 43 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Paige * | 41 | 11-21 | 7-12 | 6-8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 26 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Leslie McDonald * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Brice Johnson | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Nate Britt | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel James | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Turner * | 37 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| K. Washington * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| T.J. Warren * | 34 | 13-25 | 1-4 | 9-13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 12 | - |
| T. Lewis * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Vandenberg * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| B. Anya | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Lee | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Barber | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Freeman | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter