Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +21 (70-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Atkins * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| P. Connaughton * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| G. Sherman * | 25 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| S. Vasturia * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Knight * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Burgett | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Jackson | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Z. Auguste | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| V.J. Beachem | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brogdon * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Harris * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 26 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Tobey * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| J. Anderson | 24 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Gill | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| E. Nolte | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Atkins | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Rogers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Kirven | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Vozenilek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter