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2014-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.4 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 25.6% 74.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% -
Log Adjusted 1.1% 98.9% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +21 (70-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Atkins * 32 2-8 0-2 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 4 -1 -
P. Connaughton * 29 4-11 2-6 1-1 3 2 0 0 2 11 3 -
G. Sherman * 25 4-12 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 0 0 8 2 -
S. Vasturia * 24 1-3 1-2 1-3 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
T. Knight * 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Burgett 27 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
D. Jackson 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 5 5 -
Z. Auguste 17 3-8 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
V.J. Beachem 15 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Brogdon * 34 5-9 2-3 1-1 7 6 0 0 2 13 15 -
J. Harris * 29 3-10 2-7 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 8 4 -
A. Mitchell * 26 7-7 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 3 15 10 -
L. Perrantes * 24 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 5 9 -
M. Tobey * 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 4 0 2 9 -
J. Anderson 24 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 7 7 -
A. Gill 22 5-6 0-0 5-6 3 3 0 0 1 15 14 -
E. Nolte 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Atkins 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Jones 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Rogers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Kirven 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Vozenilek 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter