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Virginia Cavaliers 57
@
Virginia Tech Hokies 53
2014-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 71.1% 28.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 64.8% 35.2% - ✓
Margin 56.9% 43.1% -1.5 ✓ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 84.4% 15.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 95.1% 4.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 95.2% 4.8% - ✓

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -4 (53-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harris * 35 2-10 2-6 1-3 1 3 3 0 1 7 3 -
M. Brogdon * 34 3-11 2-6 4-6 3 3 2 0 1 12 8 -
L. Perrantes * 32 4-8 3-6 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 11 6 -
M. Tobey * 24 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 2 5 -
A. Mitchell * 22 3-3 0-0 1-4 10 1 0 1 1 7 15 -
A. Gill 21 2-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 1 2 5 3 -
J. Anderson 20 3-9 2-6 1-1 5 0 1 0 0 9 6 -
D. Atkins 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
E. Nolte 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wilson * 37 5-7 1-1 2-2 3 5 0 0 1 13 13 -
J. Eddie * 29 1-8 1-7 4-5 0 0 1 0 2 7 -2 -
J. van Zegeren * 28 6-7 0-0 1-3 7 3 1 1 1 13 17 -
B. Emelogu II * 26 2-6 2-4 2-5 4 1 0 0 3 8 4 -
T. Thompson * 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 3 4 2 -
W. Johnston 28 1-3 1-1 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 3 6 -
C.J. Barksdale 18 2-8 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 5 -1 -
C. Raines 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
C. Beyer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter