Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -6 (75-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 37 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 24 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Leslie McDonald * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nate Britt | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Brice Johnson | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel James | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Thomas * | 40 | 6-19 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 | - |
| Ian Miller * | 37 | 7-16 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Montay Brandon * | 36 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Okaro White * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Michael Ojo * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Boris Bojanovsky | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Robert Gilchrist | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jarquez Smith | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Devon Bookert | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter