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2014-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 โœ“ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 59.0% 41.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 73.9% 26.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 74.0% 26.0% - โœ—

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Robinson 32 4-11 0-2 2-2 5 2 2 1 4 10 5 -
Talib Zanna 31 2-11 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 2 1 5 3 -
Lamar Patterson 24 5-15 3-9 3-4 4 2 4 1 1 16 11 -
Cameron Wright 24 4-8 0-0 0-1 0 2 2 0 3 8 1 -
Chris Jones 21 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
Jamel Artis 20 4-6 0-2 5-7 7 1 1 0 0 13 16 -
Michael Young 19 3-4 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 8 10 -
Josh Newkirk 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 1 -
Derrick Randall 8 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Joseph Uchebo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Paige 38 5-9 5-6 3-3 4 4 4 0 4 18 17 -
J. McAdoo 37 11-18 0-0 2-7 12 0 1 0 1 24 18 -
Leslie McDonald 28 1-8 1-6 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 -1 -
Brice Johnson 24 3-6 0-0 7-10 7 1 0 5 0 13 20 -
J.P. Tokoto 24 3-5 0-1 2-3 4 4 2 0 4 8 9 -
Nate Britt 18 1-9 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 2 -4 -
Isaiah Hicks 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 4 6 -
Kennedy Meeks 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
Jackson Simmons 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Desmond Hubert 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Joel James 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter