๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2014-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 94.0% 6.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 85.0% 15.0% - โœ“
Margin 92.0% 8.0% -13.4 โœ“ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 69.6% 30.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.3% 11.7% - โœ“

Actual: Boston College Eagles -21 (68-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabari Parker * 38 12-17 0-1 5-10 16 1 0 3 2 29 30 -
Rodney Hood * 30 3-9 2-4 1-2 5 1 0 1 4 9 3 -
Amile Jefferson * 29 3-3 0-0 2-2 6 1 2 0 1 8 13 -
Tyler Thornton * 27 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 6 1 0 0 6 9 -
Rasheed Sulaimon * 25 2-8 2-4 4-4 2 6 1 0 1 10 10 -
Quinn Cook 26 7-10 5-7 2-2 1 3 1 0 0 21 16 -
Andre Dawkins 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Semi Ojeleye 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt Jones 6 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Josh Hairston 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nick Pagliuca 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Caudill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Olivier Hanlan * 38 8-16 2-7 7-8 4 4 1 0 1 25 17 -
Ryan Anderson * 34 4-8 0-0 4-6 6 2 0 0 3 12 9 -
Lonnie Jackson * 28 3-6 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 9 7 -
Joe Rahon * 28 4-7 3-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 11 8 -
Alex Dragicevich * 26 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 1 -
Garland Owens 22 1-3 0-2 1-4 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Eddie Odio 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Patrick Heckmann 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Danny Rubin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sam Donahue 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Drew Jacobs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter