Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.0% | 19.0% | -8.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -15 (65-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Hood * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jabari Parker * | 34 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Thornton * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 15 | 7-9 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Matt Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Patterson * | 36 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | - |
| James Robinson * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Cameron Wright * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Talib Zanna * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Michael Young * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Josh Newkirk | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jamel Artis | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Randall | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Jones | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter