Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.7% | 90.3% | +12.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +22 (78-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Bookert * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Montay Brandon * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Okaro White * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Boris Bojanovsky * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Robert Gilchrist * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Thomas | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ian Miller | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Michael Ojo | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jarquez Smith | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joell Hopkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Allen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Parker * | 33 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Quinn Cook * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Andre Dawkins * | 11 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon | 28 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 25 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Rodney Hood | 25 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter