Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | +8.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +15 (76-61). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Marcus Paige * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Leslie McDonald * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Joel James * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brice Johnson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 27 | - |
| Nate Britt | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Denzel Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Manor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wade Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Akil Mitchell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Joe Harris * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| London Perrantes * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Mike Tobey * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Justin Anderson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Gill | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Evan Nolte | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Darion Atkins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Rogers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maleek Frazier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Teven Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rob Vozenilek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caid Kirven | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter