Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +35 (95-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Warren * | 37 | 9-19 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| K. Washington * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| C. Barber * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Lee * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Vandenberg * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Turner | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Lewis | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| B. Anya | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Hood * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jabari Parker * | 26 | 7-14 | 2-2 | 7-10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Quinn Cook * | 25 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon | 17 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 13 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nick Pagliuca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Todd Zafirovski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter