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2014-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 92.1% 7.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% - โœ—
Margin 80.1% 19.9% -7.6 โœ— (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 67.7% 32.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 91.4% 8.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 91.4% 8.6% - โœ—

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +2 (79-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quinn Cook 39 7-14 3-5 5-5 4 4 2 0 2 22 16 -
Rodney Hood 38 8-17 5-10 6-6 3 2 0 0 2 27 13 -
Tyler Thornton 25 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 3 7 -
Jabari Parker 24 2-10 1-5 2-4 4 0 0 0 2 7 -1 -
Rasheed Sulaimon 22 1-4 1-2 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Amile Jefferson 21 2-5 0-0 0-1 9 1 0 1 0 4 10 -
Andre Dawkins 18 2-5 1-4 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Josh Hairston 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Marshall Plumlee 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Atkins 38 7-13 0-3 5-8 1 11 1 1 2 19 18 -
Pat Connaughton 37 6-9 2-2 2-2 8 5 0 0 1 16 19 -
Demetrius Jackson 28 2-3 1-1 3-4 4 2 1 0 1 8 11 -
Austin Burgett 24 1-2 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 5 0 2 10 -
Steve Vasturia 22 3-5 3-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 9 8 -
Garrick Sherman 21 6-14 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
Zach Auguste 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
V.J. Beachem 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Tom Knight 6 1-2 0-0 1-4 2 0 1 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter