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2013-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% -
Efficiency 54.1% 45.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% -
Log Adjusted 35.2% 64.8% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ross * 38 3-8 2-6 3-4 13 1 1 0 4 11 14 -
J. Brown * 36 6-13 2-6 3-5 3 0 0 0 1 17 6 -
J. Clarkson * 35 5-15 2-4 9-10 1 4 1 0 1 21 11 -
J. Williams * 34 4-7 1-1 1-4 7 3 2 1 0 10 16 -
R. Rosburg * 29 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 2 7 -
T. Criswell 13 2-7 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 0 1 6 3 -
W. Clark 12 0-0 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 -
K. Post 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 37 11-23 1-7 1-2 13 3 2 2 4 24 17 -
D. Lee * 25 3-7 2-3 4-4 2 2 0 0 0 12 9 -
L. Freeman * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Barber * 23 2-11 0-3 2-6 3 6 1 0 1 6 4 -
J. Vandenberg * 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 4 -
K. Washington 24 5-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 10 8 -
T. Lewis 18 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 -
R. Turner 18 3-9 3-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 9 3 -
B. Anya 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -

* = starter