Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -10 (38-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brust * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Josh Gasser * | 35 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Traevon Jackson * | 34 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Sam Dekker * | 30 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Bronson Koenig | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Duje Dukan | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Hayes-Davis | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harris * | 33 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Brogdon * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Gill * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Anderson | 28 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Tobey | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Atkins | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Nolte | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter